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Week review U.S. slowdown in gold prices soaring global easing bright prospects – Sohu financial-xhero

hanson

Week review: the U.S. slowdown in gold prices soaring global relaxed Outlook – Sohu Finance – this week (February 1st -2 month 5 week) gold prices soared nearly 40 U.S. dollars, an increase of 3.7%. When the gold price was the lowest, it rose from $1116.82 an ounce to $1163.01 an ounce. U.S. data weak, Fed officials dovish speech makes the market believes that the pace of the Fed interest rate will slow down, which is the main factor in the rise in gold prices this week. In addition, the world’s major central banks loose related stock movements measures, physical gold buying, but also constitute a support for the price of gold. Next week (February 8th -2 month 12 day week) the focus of the market is still to the Fed’s policy outlook, especially Wednesday fed Yellen’s testimony, investors can find more clues to the Fed rate hike outlook. In addition, the real gold buying after the Spring Festival is also concerned by investors. The economic outlook is weakening, making the Fed slow to raise interest rates to support the price of gold. Oil prices and the stock market fall, prompting investors to buy safe asset hedging, gold prices in the Federal Reserve slowed down the main support of interest rate rise. Because the recent outlook for gold prices is mainly affected by the pace of interest rate hike in the United States, the increase in interest rates has weakened the attractiveness of gold because of increasing the opportunity cost of holding non income assets. U.S. data weak, Fed officials released doves speech. In the case of the Fed’s potential to raise interest rates in the future, investors seek to be regarded as a safer asset gold hedge. This week’s data show that U.S. manufacturing activity shows signs of stabilization in January, but the possibility of recovery in the short term is unlikely. US consumer spending was flat in December. The service sector in the United States is slowing, and the U.S. services sector slowed in January to the lowest level in the last two years, indicating a weaker economic growth in the first quarter. Fed officials’ dovish remarks have raised concerns about the market. Fisher, the vice president of the Federal Reserve, suppressed the dollar. Fisher said that the continued volatility of the market may undermine the U.S. economy and inflation. Dudley, chairman of the New York fed, said that since the Fed meeting decided to raise interest rates in December, the financial situation has been more tense, and if this situation continues in the March meeting, we will have to consider this situation. His comments prompted the market to weaken expectations of interest rates. Robin Bhar, an analyst at Societe Generale, believes that the main driving force behind the rise in spot gold prices is the weakening of the US dollar, and the uncertainty of the global economy is increasing, which stimulates investors’ demand for hedging. BMO Capital Markets, director of the basic metals and precious metals trading division, said, "the market is focusing on bad news and believes the Fed will no longer raise interest rates. At present, the price of gold is entirely affected by the weakening of the dollar. In addition, the market is under the Federal Reserve may not further increase interest rate expectations to adjust." Spot gold price 4 hours chart week trend

周评:美国放缓金价飙升 全球宽松前景光明-搜狐理财   ――本周(2月1日-2月5日当周)黄金价格大幅攀升近40美元,累计上涨3.7%。当周金价最低自1116.82美元 盎司,最高升至1163.01美元 盎司。美国数据疲软、美联储官员鸽派言论使得市场认为美联储加息步伐将会放缓,这是本周金价上涨的主要因素。此外,全球各大央行的宽松举 相关公司股票走势 措,实物黄金买盘,也都对金价构成支撑。  下周(2月8日-2月12日当周)市场的焦点仍然在美联储政策前景的走向,尤其是下周三美联储耶伦的证词,投资者可以找到更多美联储加息前景的线索。此外,春节之后的实物黄金买盘也受到投资者关注。  经济前景转弱料使得美联储放缓加息支撑金价。油价和股市下跌促使投资者买入安全资产避险,金价在美联储放缓加息的主要支撑下走高。因为金价近期的前景主要受到美国升息步伐的影响,利率升高使得黄金吸引力减弱,因增加了持有非收益性资产的机会成本。  美国数据疲弱,联储官员放出鸽派言论。在美联储未来升息可能性降低的情况下,投资者寻求在被看作更安全的资产黄金避险。  本周数据显示,美国制造业活动1月呈现出企稳的迹象,但短期内复苏的可能性不大。美国消费者支出12月持平。美国服务业也在放缓,1月美国服务业活动放缓至近两年来低位,表明第一季度开始经济增长更加疲弱。  美联储官员鸽派言论增加了市场的忧虑。美联储副主席费希尔的言论打压美元。费希尔称,市场持续动荡可能损及美国经济和通胀。  纽约联储主席杜德利表示,自从12月美联储会议决定加息以来,金融状况更为紧张,如果这种状况在3月会议时还在持续,我们将不得不对此加以考虑。他的评论促使市场减弱了对升息的预期。  法国兴业银行的分析师Robin Bhar认为,目前现货黄金价格上涨的主要推动力是美元走弱,且全球经济的不确定性也不断增加,刺激了投资者的避险需求。  BMO Capital Markets基本金属和贵金属交易部门董事说,“市场聚焦在坏消息,且相信美联储将不能再加息。目前而言金价走势完全是受到美元走软的影响。另外,市场还正在根据美联储可能不会进一步加息的预期来进行调整。”  现货金价4小时图本周走势相关的主题文章:


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